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Edison's avatar

Looks like a big big miscalualation and let me explain why . First of all , all those Chinese companies which want sattelites need to first hugely invest in the R and D of the reusable rockets. China still has not a SINGLE reusable rocket that is as effective as SpaceX' Falcon 9 horse ,so how can China even think of 10000 sattelites let alone 200,000 sattelites . Secodly , China should start building space situational awareness infrastucture like that of US NRO because as the sattelites will increase so will the collision and already China's Tiangong Space Station has faced those scenarios multiple times. Lastly , capturing of space debris and moving them to the graveyard orbits should be the priority to mitigate the effects of space junks.

Without those tasks , China's dream of 200, 000 sattelites , according to my observation and analysis is far from reality .

Neural Foundry's avatar

Really strong breakdown of the frequency land grab dynamic. China Mobile filing for 2,664 D2C satellites while the new CTC institute submits 193k shows a strategic play that goes beyond actual deployment capacity. The comparison to Rwanda's 2021 filing nails the issue, these numbers functino more as placeholders than execution plans. Watched similar patterns when 5G spectrum auctions created bidding wars over future rights rather than imediate buildouts.

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